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| Fund Commentary | |||||||||||||||||||||
An Update from The Davis Research Team |
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| Annual Review 2009 | |||||||||||||||||||||
As a sign of our commitment to all those who have entrusted capital to us, the Davis family, employees and directors have almost $2 billion of their own money invested side by side with fellow shareholders in the various mutual funds our firm manages.1 1 As of December 31, 2009. Last winter in the midst of the turmoil in the financial markets, we recommended long-term investors think about conditions as dynamic, not static. Specifically we noted that "we are now in a bear market and economic recession, but it would be a mistake to assume this state of affairs will last forever. Based on our experience, we believe that the economy and financial system . . . are extraordinarily resilient, that the credit crunch will eventually subside, that businesses can and do adapt to changing realities given time, and that the long-term outlook for businesses—and therefore equities—remains favorable."3
Source: National Bureau of Economic Research using data from the Labor Department, January 1967 through November 2009. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Source: Yahoo Finance. Graph represents the S&P 500® Index from January 1, 1970 through December 31, 2009. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 2 This report includes candid statements and observations regarding investment strategies, individual securities, economic and market conditions; however, there is no guarantee that these statements, opinions or forecasts will prove to be correct. Equity markets are volatile and an investor may lose money. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 3 Source: Davis Opportunity Fund Annual Review 2008, December 31, 2008, page 3. Market conditions may vary from period to period, yet the core tenets of the Davis investment discipline and approach remain the same. We start with the premise that stocks represent fractional ownership in real businesses. We seek to purchase durable businesses at value prices and hold them for the long term. We believe that owning shares of well-managed businesses with attractive reinvestment rates, purchased at reasonable valuations and held for years to allow the power of compounding to work, is a reliable method for building capital over long investment horizons. By definition, owning shares of companies for years or even decades means that some, perhaps all, of our investments will traverse rough patches along the way, whether they are specific to a company, an industry or the broader market. We know in advance that we are going to own businesses in periods of rising interest rates, falling interest rates, inflation, disinflation, a weak dollar, a strong dollar, and so forth. Therefore, when we think about purchasing shares of a company, we have to weigh carefully up front whether we think the business can withstand inevitable shocks in addition to considering the likelihood the business can grow earnings power (and therefore intrinsic worth) over full cycles. Then, company by company, we set out to build a durable, all-weather portfolio of businesses that can compound over the long term. Our Portfolio holds three primary categories of investments:
Market leaders with strong balance sheets— In many cases these are global companies with universally known brands, earnings that are well diversified from the standpoint of product line and geography, and fortress balance sheets. At this time the majority of the Portfolio's assets is invested in companies with market capitalizations in excess of $10 billion and combined revenues totaling more than $1.2 trillion.5 These businesses span a broad range of global industries from technology to financials to health care, among others. They provide a core foundation of stability within the Portfolio and offer in our view a high probability of long-term sustainable returns through capital appreciation and dividends. An example of a market leader in our Portfolio is SAP AG, a global information technology company headquartered in Germany that designs and maintains enterprise software systems. Enterprise software is the underlying software used by a firm's mainframe computers that power such essential functions as accounting, inventory control and customer contact systems. SAP's business model is based on creating innovative software packages and offering them at a far lower price than businesses would incur if they built the software on their own. Virtually every company that purchases SAP software also purchases a maintenance contract that provides access to periodic upgrades and ongoing customization. These maintenance contracts are an important driver of earnings growth and annuity-like cash flows over multi-year periods making SAP a particularly durable franchise. In our view, market leaders such as SAP that possess global reach, proven management and scale advantages are well positioned to createsignificant value for long-term shareholders. Out-of-the-spotlight businesses—After market leaders, the next major category of investments in the Portfolio is out-of-the-spotlight businesses. These are lesser known companies with attractive economics that in our opinion should eventually command higher valuations. Their appeal may take time to gain recognition, often because these businesses are smaller or operate in a mundane non-consumer-oriented industry. Given the right leadership and attractive reinvestment rates, these low-profile holdings can provide the opportunity for the "double play" of expanding multiples on expanding earnings, which can turn a company with a solid earnings growth rate into a stellar investment. As a general rule, out-of-the-spotlight holdings tend to be boring but steady compounding machines.
Agilent Technologies is an example of an out of- the-spotlight holding. This company was spun off from Hewlett-Packard in 1999, and today is a leading provider of bio-analytical and electronic measurement solutions. Among its various offerings, Agilent manufactures laboratory equipment that detects dangerous chemical and biological agents in air, water, soil, and food samples. Agilent's electronics division complements its chemical and biological business by providing testing instruments, systems and services for manufacturers of electronic equipment such as cell phones, MP3 players and fiber optic cable. Led by CEO Bill Sullivan, Agilent has demonstrated excellent capital allocation discipline, generates ample free cash flow and has a solid balance sheet with ample liquidity. Headline risk or contrarian investments6—On a very selective basis we make contrarian investments. These often involve controversial situations where the market is discounting a company's share price to reflect a perception of risk that we think is greater than the probable economic risk to the business's long-term fundamentals. Typically a minor portion of our portfolios in percentage terms, headline risk investments can sometimes be difficult for clients to understand because they beg the question, "Don't you read the papers?" But it is precisely because so many other investors automatically sell companies with near-term challenges, however surmountable, that the potential for high returns exists in many such instances. Our job is to ferret out opportunities that represent favorable risk/reward tradeoffs and do our best to avoid the value traps. We will not get every investment right. However, overall this distinctly contrarian element of our investment discipline has been an important contributor to our long-term success and can be an effective and repeatable way to capitalize on herd mentality in the market. As an example, the uncertainty associated with pending health care reform in the United States has created opportunity in recent months. In 2009 we were able to purchase shares of a number of high quality businesses in the health care field, including Merck (which merged with Schering-Plough in November 2009) and Pfizer, at what we believed were highly attractive valuations. Overall, the investments we have made in the three categories described above combine to form a total Portfolio that we believe is well diversified and has a high probability of producing satisfactory compound returns over full market cycles.7
For the year ended December 31, 2009, the Davis Opportunity Fund significantly outperformed its benchmark the Russell 3000® Index, which returned 28.34%.8 Longer term, the Fund has outperformed the Index in nine of the past 11 calendar years and by a wide margin since Davis Advisors began managing the Fund on January 1, 19999 -a testament in our view to the effectiveness of the fundamentals-based Davis investment discipline through a variety of market and economic environments.
The performance presented represents past performance and is not a guarantee of future results. Total return assumes reinvestment of dividends and capital gain distributions. Investment return and principal value will vary so that, when redeemed, an investor's shares may be worth more or less than their original cost. The total annual operating expense ratio for Class A shares as of the most recent prospectus was 1.15%. The total annual operating expense ratio may vary in future years. Returns and expenses for other classes of shares will vary. Current performance may be higher or lower than the performance data quoted. For most recent month-end performance, click here or call 800-279-0279. Investments in initial public offerings (IPOs) had a favorable impact on performance in 1999 and 2000 when the IPO market was very active. No assurance can be given that the Fund will continue to invest in IPOs to the same extent in the future or that such investments will be profitable.
Reflecting on the past two years, which include the economic crisis of 2008 and the partial recovery of 2009, these are among the key lessons we have learned:
Source: Bloomberg. There is no guarantee that these indices or securities, or any other indices or securities, will appreciate in the future.
10 There is no guarantee an investment will compound over time. 11 Source: Bloomberg. There is no guarantee that low priced securities will appreciate.
The charts below illustrate this point by showing the percentage of time from 1928 through the end of 2009 the Dow Jones Industrial Average produced positive returns over one year and five year holding periods. Extending one's horizon from one to five years increased the historical chances of realizing a positive return in the market from 73% to 92%. In navigating uncertain times, it is useful to remain focused on the long term since stocks have generally rewarded patient investors.12 ![]() Source: The performance was obtained from a combination of sources, including, but not limited to, Thomson Financial, Lipper and index websites. Returns are annualized total returns. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 12 Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
There are always opportunities and risks. In our view the keys to outperforming the market over the next decade, as we have done since Davis Advisors began managing the Fund in 1999,13 are: (1) to think long-term rather than get caught up in short-term cycles, (2) to exercise a highly selective and disciplined approach with respect to business quality and valuation, and (3) to remain focused on in-depth, bottom-up research.
All of us at Davis Advisors thank you for your support. We are grateful and fortunate to have your confidence and will continue to work hard on your behalf. We look forward to continuing our investment journey together. ■ 13 Class A shares, not including a sales charge. Inception was January 1, 1999. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
DAVIS DISTRIBUTORS, LLC |
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Davis Opportunity Fund's investment objective is long-term growth of capital. There can be no assurance that the Fund will achieve its objective. Some important risks of an investment in the Fund are: market risk: the market value of shares of common stock can change rapidly and unpredictably; company risk: the market value of a common stock varies with the success or failure of the company issuing the stock; small- and medium-capitalization risk: small and mid-size companies typically have more limited product lines, markets and financial resources than larger companies, and their securities may trade less frequently and in more limited volume than those of larger, more mature companies; and foreign country risk: companies operating, incorporated or principally traded in foreign countries may have more fluctuation as foreign economies may not be as strong or diversified, foreign political systems may not be as stable and foreign financial reporting standards may not be as rigorous as they are in the United States. As of December 31, 2009, Davis Opportunity Fund had approximately 20.1% of assets invested in foreign companies. See the prospectus for a complete listing of the principal risks. Davis Advisors is committed to communicating with our investment partners as candidly as possible because we believe our investors benefit from understanding our investment philosophy and approach. Our views and opinions regarding the investment prospects of our portfolio holdings include "forward looking statements" which may or may not be accurate over the long term. While we believe we have a reasonable basis for our appraisals and we have confidence in our opinions, actual results may differ materially from those we anticipate. These opinions are current as of the date of this piece but are subject to change. Market values will vary so that an investor may experience a gain or a loss. The information provided in this material should not be considered a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any particular security. As of December 31, 2009, Davis Opportunity Fund had invested the following percentages of its assets in the companies listed: Agilent Technologies, 3.00%; Banco Santander, 0.48%; Becton, Dickinson, 2.88%; Berkshire Hathaway, 1.07%; Comcast, 1.06%; Costco, 0.04%; Devon Energy, 1.14%; Google, 5.25%; Hewlett-Packard, 0.83%; IDEXX, 1.68%; Johnson & Johnson, 4.92%; Merck, 5.15%; Microsoft, 4.00%; Occidental Petroleum, 1.64%; Pfizer, 0.88%; SAP AG, 1.36%; Tenaris, 1.73%; Texas Instruments, 3.61%; Transocean, 2.90%. Davis Funds has adopted a Portfolio Holdings Disclosure policy that governs the release of non-public portfolio holding information.This policy is described in detail in the prospectus. Click here or call 800-279-0279 for the most current public portfolio holdings information.
Investments in initial public offerings (IPOs) had a favorable impact on Davis Opportunity Fund's performance in 1999 and 2000. This was a time when the IPO market was very active. No assurance can be given that Davis Opportunity Fund will continue to invest in IPOs to the same extent in the future or that such investments would be profitable.
Broker-dealers and other financial intermediaries may charge Davis Advisors substantial fees for selling its products and providing continuing support to clients and shareholders. For example, broker-dealers and other financial intermediaries may charge: sales commissions; distribution and service fees; and record-keeping fees. In addition, payments or reimbursements may be requested for: marketing support concerning Davis Advisors' products; placement on a list of offered products; access to sales meetings, sales representatives and management representatives; and participation in conferences or seminars, sales or training programs for invited registered representatives and other employees, client and investor events, and other dealer-sponsored events. Financial advisors should not consider Davis Advisors' payment(s) to a financial intermediary as a basis for recommending Davis Advisors.
Effective July 1, 2009, Davis Advisors voluntarily and permanently reduced any management fee breakpoints ABOVE 0.55% to 0.55% for Davis Opportunity Fund.
We gather our index data from a combination of reputable sources, including, but not limited to, Thomson Financial, Lipper and index websites. |
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